incentives

The world feels chaotic because we experience events locally and emotionally. At a systemic level, outcomes follow repeatable patterns shaped by incentives, constraints, and selection pressures.

Interventions designed to fix visible failures often shift risk elsewhere. By optimizing for the last breakdown, systems become vulnerable to the next one.

Many modern failures are not caused by bad actors or poor leadership. They emerge from incentive structures and system design where no single actor controls the outcome.

Systems do not evolve toward truth or virtue. They evolve toward configurations that survive existing incentives and constraints.